Still Free

Yeah, Mr. Smiley. Made it through the entire Trump presidency without being enslaved. Imagine that.

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Why You Should Be VERY Wary Of "Projections"

 I have had the displeasure of having to discuss the Wuhan situation with people who follow the MSN and think themselves informed. They like to tell me about projections as if we don't have months of predictions and projections that have been off by orders of magnitude (over). Apparently these fails don't make it to mainstream media outlets so these informed people are well...not that informed. Follow The Ghost and you'll be informed. 

Anyway, here's one.


Now look at this nonsense. They have projections with "easing of masks" going up. They have universal mask usage as being flat. Do they not know that Sweden doesn't have and didn't have any mask mandate? You would think that the people making these projections would take into account what is actually going on in a country. These people making projections simply act like mask usage "works" like Pi is 3.14. 

This is why you shouldn't take any projection seriously unless you know and understand the underlying assumptions and data.