So the new mantra is that 95% mask usage in the US would prevent 70k "preventable or unnecessary deaths" presumably through Dec 1. Never mind that many predictions have failed to come to fruition and that we have an example of a country with no mask mandate (though people may use one) that is seeing no such pattern.
But one of the problems I've had with the Wuhan outbreak is how there is so much information out there about it, that everyone and anyone can make proclamations that take root in a lot of peoples minds who are generally speaking numerically illiterate. And so to them seeing 70K seems like a large number.
I remember back in my video production days when a person I was working with discussed something told to them about how people who have never had a million dollars thinks it's a lot of money but to a billionaire a million is not that much at all. That is the larger the sums you're used to seeing, the less impressed you are by smaller sums. A lot of people think that 170k dead means they are going to see ambulances loudly arriving in their neighborhood on a daily basis. It only slowly dawns on them when they see their neighbor day after day after day (maskless no less) that perhaps they have been sold on a lie.
So lets take a look at deaths in America so we can have some perspective.
There are 330 million people in America. 330,000,000.
Every year around 2.8 million people die in America
There are 50 states in America plus the territory of Puerto Rico and Guam that are considered US citizens so we'll include them If we divide 2.8 million (2,800,000) by 52 we get 53,800deaths per state and territory.
Now if we divide the deaths per state+territory by the number of days in a year (365) then we get 147 deaths per day, per state.
Below is the Worldometer CV data for yesterday (8-28) arranged by deaths (highest to lowest) for the top 16.
You'll notice that with the exception of California, the daily deaths from the Wuhan virus is 3% of the expected daily total deaths which is an average. Only California has a death rate that is 2/3 its expected daily death number.
On a side note the differences in recovered between Texas and Florida is quite striking. Texas either has bad numbers or is doing something very different from Florida. I like to look at recovery rates because it tells a lot about treatments. I think some journalist (not the fake news people) should look into the states with high recovery rates and see what they are doing differently or what's different about their population. I think that would be more useful than pushing narratives based on fear and control.
So if we look at the 70k that supposedly would be "saved" by 95% mask usage, we can calculate that it would be, again as an average 1346 per state. If we spread that out over the last 4 months of the year that's 336 people per day. But that's not really possible is it? If each day over the year we lose 147 people, how can we be saving 336? Particularly when current death rates outside of California and Florida only account for 3% of expected daily deaths?
One of the assumptions is that Wuhan deaths are above and beyond the deaths that are expected for a given day. Yet we know that since people are in lock downs that deaths in auto accidents are way down. Perhaps other forms of accidental deaths are down due to people not being out and about. It is entirely plausible that at this point in time that Wuhan deaths are instead of other deaths. Another example is the reported drop in premature births. We know that stressed out pregnant women have more difficulties with pregnancy. With women not at work (or commuting and the stress involved with that), they have less stress and hence better pregnancy outcomes. So I'm not convinced of the "in addition to" argument. perhaps back in March but certainly not now.
So we don't know what's going to happen when the weather changes and influenza season returns. Certainly heightened attention to hygiene will bring down influenza infections (as seen in South America) but if we don't see spikes in NY and Sweden (benchmarks due to early high rates of cases and deaths and divergent policies) then we'll know that herd immunity (or saturation) is indeed possible and policies of hiding from the virus are counter-productive from a public health standpoint but quite economically productive for certain corporations that are making a LOT of money due to the sidelining of their competition and pharmaceutical companies who stand to make large sums off a "vaccine" that no doubt government agents will do everything they can to make mandatory, including extortion (no stick, no pay, no travel).
Understand that if enough governments mandate the "vaccine" even if "free" to the client, that these companies stand to make billions. There are 7 billion people on Earth. If 2 billion come under a "vaccine" mandate" and the price is 1 dollar, that's 2 billion per "vaccination cycle" (since we don't know how long supposed immunity lasts). You don't think these companies will not lobby governments to get 2 billion? What about 10x that with a $10/dose cost? You don't think so?
Sweden had 91,972 deaths last year. It has a population of 10 million. If we divide there deaths by 365 we get 251 per day. As of yesterday (8-28-2020) Sweden had 5 Wuhan deaths.
Again, that 5 represents 2% of their total average daily deaths. No masks. No lockdowns. It is high time the people start demanding these experts explain these numbers and the national panic they have created with their "mandates" and the like.
