Tuesday, July 28, 2020

"COVID-19 pandemic is 'one big wave'"

So Reuters is reporting on WHO saying the following:
A World Health Organization official on Tuesday described the COVID-19 pandemic as “one big wave” and warned against complacency in the northern hemisphere summer since the infection does not share influenza’s tendency to follow seasons.
If this is the case then it bodes extremely well for Sweden, Italy and anywhere else that got massively infected early on. My lingering concern is that since Coronaviruses are usually seasonal, that Sweden and NY would face a serious problem come late fall when conditions become more favorable. However; this report, if accurate will mean that herd immunity may not only be possible at lower numbers than "expected" but also may have already occurred iun Sweden and possibly NYC. It also means that the strategy of lock downs possibly lengthened the "crisis".

WHO officials have been at pains to avoid describing a resurgence of COVID-19 cases like those in Hong Kong as “waves” as this suggests the virus is behaving in ways beyond human control, when in fact concerted action can slow its spread.
These "waves" are IMO, based on this report, actually a byproduct of attempts at limiting its spread.
It’s going to go up and down a bit. The best thing is to flatten it and turn it into just something lapping at your feet,” she said.
Or get it over with and go dry your feet.

We will soon find out.