Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Super Tuesday Fallout

Other than Ron Paul doing double digits in certain states, the biggest thing to come out of Super Tuesday was that Obama has proven himself more electable than Hilary Clinton who ought not to have lost CT. It is clear that a large percentage of Democratic voters do not like Hilary (a subject we discussed in a previous posting). It is also clear that Obama is pulling voters in red states and beats Hillary by larger margins there than Hillary beats Obama in the places she won. In other words, should Hillary get the nomination I think she would need Obama on her ticket in order to win. However; I believe it is possible for Obama to win in Nov. without Hillary. This is because I think, and I'm open to being wrong here that Hillary supporters will support any Democrat including Obama in the Nov election, barring some huge skeleton coming out of Obama's closet. However; it is pretty clear that the reverse is not true with many Obama supporters threatening to either not vote or actually vote Republican (which then makes me ask what kind of Democrats are they but that's another issue.)

While I may not support either Obama or Clinton based on policy issues, I can still read the writing on the wall. This election is basically a political American Idol. It is show and flash with trendy young adults deciding who's in. Right now Hillary is "old school" and old school is not cool. This should have the Clinton camp very, very worried. I dare say that they might want to get Chelsea front and center in some ads.

She may have more delegates now, but unless something changes soon, she'll be looking at a return to the senate come November. Yes I'm calling it.